The ability to predict therapeutic response is essential for improving the care of patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML). M.Luskin et al. developed a methylation-based risk score (M-score) for AML using random forest classification and demonstrated the association between M-score and overall survival (OS) on a limited cohort of AML patients.
For this current study M.Luskin et al. of UPENN, investigated whether the M-score could independently predict clinical outcome in 166 patients from UPENN with de novo AML treated with intensive induction chemotherapy controlling for other prognostic markers. Their findings were published in JCI Insight in June 2016.
Here are the key findings from their study:
- In response to 1 or 2 cycles of induction chemotherapy, 71% achieved complete remission (CR) and 38% were alive at 2 years
- The mean M-score for surviving patients was significantly lower than for deceased patients (81.8; 95% CI, 74.3–89.2, vs. 99.5; 95% CI 93.2–105.8, P=0.0005,.
- Patients achieving CR also had a lower mean M-score compared with those who failed to achieve CR (86.8; 95% CI, 81.3–92.4, vs. 105.8; 95% CI, 96.5–115.0, P=0.0005).
- A univariate Cox survival analysis demonstrated that a 10-unit increase in the M-score was associated with a 10% increase in the hazard of death (P <0.0001 and a 20% increase in the odds of failing to achieve CR
- M-score was associated with cytogenetic risk; those with favorable cytogenetics had a lower mean M-score than both the intermediate and unfavorable cytogenetics (P<0.0001 and P=0.001, respectively)
- There was no difference in mean M-score between intermediate and unfavorable groups (P1.0).
- The M-score classifier identified groups with a different outcome, regardless of whether patients did or did not receive allogeneic stem cell transplant (log-rank P=0.01 and P<0.00001, respectively).
In summary, this study has demonstrated some promising results regarding the robustness of the M-score as a prognostic tool. As correlations between the median M-score and OS and the median M-score and CR were observed.